Public tools are capped to the last 6 months of history. Full access unlocks longer backtests, complete token downloads, and API keys.
Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 12, 2026 → Jul 13, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Aave weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 35% | 8/23 | -5% | -7% | +50% Jun 8, 26 | -43% Jan 12, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 39% | 9/23 | -5% | -5% | +51% Jun 8, 26 | -39% Jan 12, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 39% | 9/23 | -4% | -5% | +51% Jun 8, 26 | -39% Jan 12, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 4 | 100% | +4% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 7 | 78% | +9% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 2 | 15% | -15% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -39% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 26 | $63.601 | 5 | $1.51K | +50.7% |
| Jun 15, 26 | $72.567 | 4 | $1.32K | +32.1% |
| Jun 1, 26 | $80.874 | 6 | $1.19K | +18.6% |
| May 25, 26 | $86.422 | 7 | $1.11K | +11.1% |
| May 18, 26 | $88.561 | 8 | $1.09K | +8.5% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 26 | $166.202 | 26 | $610 | -39.0% |
| Jan 19, 26 | $163.623 | 25 | $618 | -38.3% |
| Jan 26, 26 | $152.139 | 24 | $662 | -33.8% |
| Feb 16, 26 | $126.148 | 21 | $786 | -21.4% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $126.844 | 23 | $789 | -21.1% |