Public tools are capped to the last 6 months of history. Full access unlocks longer backtests, complete token downloads, and API keys.
Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 28, 2026 → Jul 29, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Aave weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 57% | 13/23 | +1% | +1% | +54% Jun 8, 26 | -38% Jan 26, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 57% | 13/23 | +2% | +3% | +55% Jun 8, 26 | -35% Jan 26, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 57% | 13/23 | +3% | +3% | +55% Jun 8, 26 | -35% Jan 26, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 3 | 75% | +5% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 8 | 89% | +15% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 5 | 38% | -8% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -35% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 26 | $63.601 | 7 | $1.55K | +55.4% |
| Jun 15, 26 | $72.567 | 6 | $1.36K | +36.1% |
| Jun 22, 26 | $75.580 | 5 | $1.31K | +30.6% |
| Jun 1, 26 | $80.874 | 8 | $1.22K | +22.3% |
| May 25, 26 | $86.422 | 9 | $1.15K | +14.5% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 26 | $159.571 | 26 | $648 | -35.2% |
| Feb 16, 26 | $126.148 | 23 | $809 | -19.1% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $126.844 | 25 | $812 | -18.8% |
| Mar 16, 26 | $119.883 | 19 | $838 | -16.3% |
| Mar 2, 26 | $117.948 | 21 | $857 | -14.3% |