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Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 12, 2026 → Jul 13, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
AeroStrat weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 83% | 19/23 | +21% | +20% | +51% Feb 9, 26 | -13% Jan 12, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 87% | 20/23 | +23% | +23% | +56% Feb 9, 26 | -10% Jan 12, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 87% | 20/23 | +24% | +23% | +57% Feb 9, 26 | -9% Jan 12, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 0 | 0% | -9% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 7 | 78% | +16% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 13 | 100% | +28% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -10% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 26 | $0.000567 | 22 | $1.56K | +56.2% |
| Feb 16, 26 | $0.000599 | 21 | $1.48K | +47.6% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $0.000617 | 23 | $1.44K | +44.0% |
| Jun 8, 26 | $0.000604 | 5 | $1.43K | +43.2% |
| Feb 23, 26 | $0.000623 | 20 | $1.42K | +41.6% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 26 | $0.000991 | 26 | $903 | -9.7% |
| Apr 27, 26 | $0.000948 | 11 | $923 | -7.7% |
| May 11, 26 | $0.000933 | 9 | $935 | -6.5% |
| May 4, 26 | $0.000863 | 10 | $1.01K | +1.1% |
| Apr 13, 26 | $0.000795 | 13 | $1.10K | +10.1% |