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Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Nov 21, 2025 → May 22, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
AeroStrat weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 48% | 11/23 | -1% | -5% | +36% Feb 9, 26 | -58% Nov 17, 25 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 57% | 13/23 | +2% | -2% | +39% Feb 9, 26 | -56% Nov 17, 25 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 57% | 13/23 | +2% | -2% | +39% Feb 9, 26 | -56% Nov 17, 25 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 1 | 25% | -14% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 8 | 89% | +10% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 5 | 38% | -3% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -56% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 26 | $0.000567 | 14 | $1.39K | +38.9% |
| Feb 16, 26 | $0.000599 | 13 | $1.31K | +31.2% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $0.000617 | 15 | $1.28K | +28.1% |
| Feb 23, 26 | $0.000623 | 12 | $1.26K | +25.8% |
| Mar 30, 26 | $0.000653 | 7 | $1.19K | +19.1% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 25 | $0.001852 | 26 | $438 | -56.2% |
| Nov 24, 25 | $0.001812 | 25 | $447 | -55.3% |
| Dec 8, 25 | $0.001609 | 23 | $501 | -49.9% |
| Dec 15, 25 | $0.001122 | 22 | $717 | -28.3% |
| Jan 5, 26 | $0.001056 | 19 | $756 | -24.4% |