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Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 28, 2026 → Jul 29, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Gnosis weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 4% | 1/23 | -12% | -11% | +11% Jun 8, 26 | -25% Jan 26, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 9% | 2/23 | -9% | -9% | +13% Jun 8, 26 | -21% Jan 26, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 9% | 2/23 | -9% | -9% | +13% Jun 8, 26 | -21% Jan 26, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 1 | 25% | -3% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 2 | 22% | -3% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 0 | 0% | -11% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -21% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 26 | $95.878 | 7 | $1.13K | +12.9% |
| Jun 22, 26 | $107.180 | 5 | $1.01K | +0.7% |
| Jun 15, 26 | $108.161 | 6 | $999 | -0.1% |
| Jun 29, 26 | $108.003 | 4 | $997 | -0.3% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $114.454 | 25 | $983 | -1.7% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 26 | $142.080 | 26 | $793 | -20.7% |
| Mar 16, 26 | $140.050 | 19 | $793 | -20.7% |
| May 11, 26 | $132.158 | 11 | $826 | -17.4% |
| May 4, 26 | $130.974 | 12 | $836 | -16.4% |
| Mar 2, 26 | $129.483 | 21 | $862 | -13.8% |