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Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 18, 2026 → Jul 19, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Gnosis weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 9% | 2/23 | -12% | -10% | +15% Jun 8, 26 | -25% Jan 12, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 17% | 4/23 | -8% | -8% | +16% Jun 8, 26 | -21% Jan 12, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 17% | 4/23 | -8% | -8% | +16% Jun 8, 26 | -21% Jan 12, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 3 | 75% | +3% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 3 | 33% | -5% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 1 | 8% | -9% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -21% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 26 | $95.878 | 5 | $1.16K | +16.4% |
| Jun 15, 26 | $108.161 | 4 | $1.03K | +3.0% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $114.454 | 23 | $1.01K | +1.2% |
| Jun 1, 26 | $111.777 | 6 | $1.00K | +0.1% |
| Feb 23, 26 | $118.596 | 20 | $971 | -2.9% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 26 | $147.577 | 26 | $789 | -21.1% |
| Jan 19, 26 | $143.741 | 25 | $810 | -19.1% |
| Mar 16, 26 | $140.050 | 17 | $817 | -18.3% |
| Jan 26, 26 | $136.953 | 24 | $848 | -15.2% |
| May 11, 26 | $132.158 | 9 | $852 | -14.8% |