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Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 28, 2026 → Jul 29, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Venice weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 65% | 15/23 | +50% | +106% | +586% Feb 9, 26 | -32% Jun 1, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 65% | 15/23 | +56% | +115% | +622% Feb 9, 26 | -31% Jun 1, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 65% | 15/23 | +55% | +116% | +632% Feb 9, 26 | -31% Jun 1, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 3 | 75% | +9% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 1 | 11% | -21% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 13 | 100% | +114% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 1 | 100% | +324% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 26 | $1.848 | 24 | $7.22K | +621.6% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $2.170 | 25 | $6.15K | +514.8% |
| Jan 26, 26 | $3.148 | 26 | $4.24K | +324.2% |
| Feb 23, 26 | $3.797 | 22 | $3.51K | +250.5% |
| Feb 16, 26 | $3.982 | 23 | $3.35K | +234.7% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 26 | $18.581 | 8 | $695 | -30.5% |
| May 25, 26 | $18.506 | 9 | $700 | -30.0% |
| Jun 8, 26 | $17.023 | 7 | $756 | -24.4% |
| May 11, 26 | $16.796 | 11 | $776 | -22.4% |
| Jun 15, 26 | $16.226 | 6 | $791 | -20.9% |