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Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Jan 12, 2026 → Jul 13, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Venice weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 74% | 17/23 | +52% | +94% | +470% Feb 9, 26 | -43% Jun 1, 26 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 74% | 17/23 | +61% | +104% | +503% Feb 9, 26 | -42% Jun 1, 26 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 74% | 17/23 | +61% | +105% | +506% Feb 9, 26 | -43% Jun 1, 26 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 1 | 25% | -15% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 3 | 33% | -34% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 13 | 100% | +110% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 1 | 100% | +253% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 26 | $1.848 | 22 | $6.03K | +503.3% |
| Feb 2, 26 | $2.170 | 23 | $5.14K | +414.0% |
| Jan 19, 26 | $2.926 | 25 | $3.82K | +282.2% |
| Jan 12, 26 | $3.173 | 26 | $3.53K | +253.0% |
| Jan 26, 26 | $3.214 | 24 | $3.48K | +247.6% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 26 | $18.581 | 6 | $577 | -42.3% |
| May 25, 26 | $18.506 | 7 | $582 | -41.8% |
| Jun 8, 26 | $17.023 | 5 | $628 | -37.3% |
| May 11, 26 | $16.796 | 9 | $646 | -35.4% |
| Jun 15, 26 | $16.226 | 4 | $656 | -34.4% |