Public tools are capped to the last 6 months of history. Full access unlocks longer backtests, complete token downloads, and tester API keys.
Lump-sum buy on a chosen day, hold to today
Active tool
Entry timing
Entry cohort analysis
Dataset
26w
183 daily snapshots · Nov 22, 2025 → May 23, 2026
Access
6M preview
Public mode caps tool history to the latest six months.
Moonwell weekly $1,000 entries · last 4 weeks excluded from win-rate stats
27 historical entry weeks · 23 judged · 4 too recent (held < 4w)
| Strategy | Win rate | Winners | Median ROI | Mean ROI | Best week | Worst week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL Price-only return | 0% | 0/23 | -28% | -34% | -10% Apr 13, 26 | -67% Nov 17, 25 |
Withdraw yield Yield kept as cash | 0% | 0/23 | -27% | -32% | -9% Apr 13, 26 | -65% Nov 17, 25 |
Reinvest yield Yield compounded | 0% | 0/23 | -27% | -33% | -9% Apr 13, 26 | -66% Nov 17, 25 |
Win rate by weeks held
| Holding period | Entries | Winners | Win rate | Median ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4w | 4 | 0 | 0% | -10% |
| 4–13w | 9 | 0 | 0% | -12% |
| 13–26w | 13 | 0 | 0% | -49% |
| 26–52w | 1 | 0 | 0% | -65% |
| 52w+ | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Top 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 26 | $0.004199 | 5 | $911 | -8.9% |
| Apr 20, 26 | $0.004272 | 4 | $893 | -10.7% |
| Mar 30, 26 | $0.004304 | 7 | $892 | -10.8% |
| Mar 9, 26 | $0.004339 | 10 | $891 | -10.9% |
| Apr 6, 26 | $0.004351 | 6 | $881 | -11.9% |
Bottom 5 qualified weeks
| Entry | Price | Weeks | Final | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 25 | $0.0116 | 26 | $350 | -65.0% |
| Nov 24, 25 | $0.0112 | 25 | $362 | -63.8% |
| Dec 8, 25 | $0.009983 | 23 | $403 | -59.7% |
| Dec 15, 25 | $0.009083 | 22 | $441 | -55.9% |
| Jan 5, 26 | $0.008547 | 19 | $463 | -53.7% |